2016 Workforce Data Revisions: Stronger Growth Than Previously Thought
Annual revisions to labor force and nonfarm payroll jobs estimates have been published. Those revisions, based on more complete data, indicate the unemployment rate was little changed throughout 2016 and nonfarm payroll job growth was stronger than previously thought. Data cited in this brief is seasonally adjusted. Unemployment Rate Estimates released on a monthly basis throughout the year indicated that unemployment reached lows of 3.4 percent in the spring and highs of 4.1 percent in the fall. Revisions based on more complete data indicate unemployment was not quite as low in the spring (3.7 percent) or as high in the fall (4.0 percent), ending the year at 3.8 percent in December. Given margins of error in the survey sample, there was essentially no change in the unemployment rate last year. Unemployment rates were below 4 percent in 12 of the last 15 months, which is historically unusual. In the last 40 years, unemployment was below 4 percent in two ...