2021 Workforce Data Revisions: Job Losses Were Not Quite as Sharp as Previously Indicated
Each month estimates from two surveys provide the most current indications of workforce conditions. The Current Population Survey, often referred to as the “household survey,” is the primary source for estimates of unemployment and labor force participation of the population. The Current Employment Statistics “payroll survey” is the source for estimates of the number of jobs in many nonfarm industries. In March of each year, estimates from those programs are revised based on lagging but more complete data. Compared to previously published estimates, revised data for 2019 and 2020 indicates that: Unemployment was lower for most months Labor force participation was higher in 2019 and early 2020, before the pandemic disrupted labor market activity, and mostly lower for the remainder of the year The number of nonfarm payroll jobs was slightly higher in 2019 and early 2020, and significantly higher for much of the rest of the year Data cited in this brief is seasonally adjusted....